南充人都在看的十大重要数据，未来房价涨跌就看它了。
<p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"> 分城施策的政策影响下，2017年中国房地产市场发生了极大变化：一方面，一线城市房价在严厉调控政策下跌回一年前，另一方面，三四线城市房价在棚户区改造政策刺激下大幅上涨。房价后续将怎么走？舆论意见不一。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"> 在宏观调控的大背景下，中国当前房价受到政策面的严重影响，很大程度上已经出现严重失真的状况。</span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"> 从长期来看，房价涨跌是供求关系的直接体现。如果抛开政策因素，从市场的角度进行分析，那么，影响各大城市房价供求的一系统经济数据，才是决定房价长期走向的根本性参考因素。具体涉及到哪些经济数据，我们一一来看！</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip209740">1</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>土地供应量</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 土地是房地产建设的主要成本和材料，土地供应量的多少，决定了房屋成本和供应量的多少，从而也决定了房价的高低。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 相对于三、四线城市广阔的建设空间来讲，一二线城市建设相对成熟，可供开发的土地有限，用地不足是部分一二线城市房屋供求失衡和价格上涨的重要原因。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-backh="321" data-backw="553" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.5804701627486437" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="553" width="542px" _width="670px" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101057lggsjh3u22tt4tz2.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: 100%;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip430286">2</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>GDP及其增速</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> GDP是一个地区在一定时期内所生产的产品和劳务的总和，是该地区总体经济实力的最直观的体现。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> GDP的规模和增长速度，是一个城市不动产价值最基本的经济支撑。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 近期，国家统计局公布了2017年中国的经济整体表现情况：国内生产总值GDP为827122亿元，同比增长6.9%，是近年来首次的提速。同时全国很多城市的经济运行的数据均已发布，以下是万亿俱乐部名单，其中，宁波、佛山接近万亿。通过排名的情况，我们可以发现城市发展的一些秘密！</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="1.2402464065708418" data-type="png" data-w="487" width="auto" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058tpmqzh9xq07pnpb7.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 从上表中可以看出过万亿的城市从城市的级别来说，主要集中在直辖市、省会或副省级城市。这说明<strong>行政级别越高的城市聚集的资源也就越多。</strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip875553">3</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>财政收入</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"> 财政收入，是指政府为履行其职能、实施公共政策和提供公共物品与服务而筹集的一切资金的总和，是衡量城市政府财力和经济增长质量的重要指标。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959; font-size: 15px;"> 一个城市的政府在社会经济活动中提供公共物品和服务的范围和数量，取决于财政收入的充裕状况。而<strong>城市公共服务的能力，从很大程度上决定了一个城市房屋的价值。</strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1;"><strong><br data-filtered="filtered"/></strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="2.032258064516129" data-type="png" data-w="341" width="auto" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058dgzqhof8xveerhdv.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 在各大城市中，上海和北京这两大直辖市的地方一般公共预算收入超过了5000亿大关，在全国各个城市中遥遥领先。深圳排在第三，与京沪有着较大的差距。值得一提的是，财政收入2015年仅位居第9的杭州2017年再次超过了广州和武汉，上升至第4。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip128537">4</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>小学生增加量</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> 人口增长是房屋需求增加的重要前提，从而也是房价坚挺的重要支撑。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> 鉴于中国城市人口统计数据的缺陷和误差，以小学生增加量数据反映一个城市人口流动状况更为客观。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> 首先我们看看人口统计数据中在校学生的数量（幼儿园、小学生和中学生数量之和）和所占比例。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.8895800933125972" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="643" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101059rxp0a8lssxeqwssm.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959; font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 11px;">注：最后的比值项，是学生的总数量占常住人口的数量的百分比</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 14px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 通过以上的数据，我们发现：郑州，其学生的总人数绝对值数量不是最大的 ，但占人口总数比例非常的高，高达17.81%，领跑我们统计的所有城市。厦门排在第二位，包括长沙、重庆、深圳、合肥、广州、福州、杭州、成都的学生的人口比例都还不错。天津比值的数据并不好，只是看学生的总数量，貌似不能算差。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; text-align: justify; widows: 1; color: #595959;"> 接下来我们再看看过去7年部分城市小学生数量变化情况（数据统计截止至2015年12月，2016年未包括在内）。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1.3603603603603605" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="333" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058w88j8b1hv6p0bdjc.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959;"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"> 事实上，小学生数量增加较快的城市，不仅意味着人口数量的增长，同时也意味着更为年轻的人口结构和更为旺盛的购房需求。</span></strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip852210">5</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>月均工资</strong><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px;"></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 作为居民最重要的收入，一个城市的月均工资，自然是决定房价的重要因素之一。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 但是，需要注意的是，在供不应求的重点城市，通过房价收入比来衡量该城市房价合理性并不靠谱。事实上，<strong>由于房屋数量有限，该地的房价主要是由高收入群体的购买能力决定的。</strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><strong><br data-filtered="filtered"/></strong></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1.9777777777777779" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="450" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101059i5xxbpshhpgdccgq.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip107736">6</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>上市公司总市值</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 上市公司不仅是优秀企业的代表，也是资本市场的受益者。一个城市上市公司数量和上市公司的总市值，反映了该城市企业的规模、质量和融资能力，意味着就业市场对中高端人才的吸纳能力和职工薪酬水平的高低，从而也意味着居民购房能力的强弱和房价前景的好坏。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; color: #000000;"></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1.0671785028790788" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="521" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058funbbpwwbmbb4o3q.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑; font-size: 15px; color: #000000;"></span></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip20167">7</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>“独角兽”公司数量</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> "独角兽公司"是指那些成立时间较短、尚未上市、而估值达到10亿美元以上的初创企业。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 一个城市“独角兽”公司数量，反映了该城市创新创业的能力和融资的活跃度，是城市经济活力的直接体现。独角兽较多的城市，不仅会产生大量的创业明星，也会批量制造大量的因股权而致富的年轻人。这部分人正是购房的主力军。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="0.27358490566037735" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1060" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058pjrjny5uyk4ybvku.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip29397">8</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong><span data-filtered="filtered" style="color: #FFFFFF;"></span>亿万富翁数量</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 亿万富翁的数量，代表了该地区高端人群的购买能力，同时也决定了该地区高端房产的价值。而高端房产的象征意义和比价效应，会带动该城市整体房价的走势。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 按照胡润的统计，北京的亿万富豪数量是全国之最，而十亿美金以上富豪更是全球之最。从这个角度上讲，北京高端房产价格有可能逐步成为全世界最贵的资产，从而也会带动北京整体房价进一步走强。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1.3159420289855073" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="345" _width="auto" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101058d1s1xegok5uusf2u.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: auto !important;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip869954">9</p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>金融机构本外币存款</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 一个城市各大金融机构的本外币存款，代表了该城市对资金的吸纳程度，从而也能更为真实地反映这个城市投资能力的强弱。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 从数据上看，目前全国各金融机构本外币存款大约为170万亿左右，而北京、上海占其中的15%强，远远高于两地GDP在全国经济中的占比。这说明,源源不断的地方资金正在向大京沪等一线城市转移，从而也为其高房价提供了资金支持。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1.645320197044335" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="406" width="406px" _width="670px" src="data/attachment/forum/201803/14/101059laznmqmnntmn7vzi.jpg" data-fail="0" style="visibility: visible !important; width: 100%;"/></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89435" style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; border-width: 0px; border-style: none; border-color: initial;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; width: 3.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3.5em; background-image: url("http://mpt.135editor.com/mmbiz_gif/bLkGzeEMu0BDJoJbl5ko4aibDsNxHoEZFCBFDHWXaE1fibywbh1O9eZB6JFjmKkMjAFwWOibXm3sswibKMVctUKJlQ/640?wx_fmt=gif"); background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px center;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip939807">10<span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></p></section></section></section></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><strong>产业结构</strong></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #595959;"> 从产业增加值和企业利润的角度上讲，金融、科技等第三产业创造的财富和提供给员工的薪水，远大于农业和制造业，意味着以第三产业为主、产业结构更为高端的一线和强二线城市，对人才的吸引力更强，提供的待遇更好，该地的房价因此也获得了人才和资金支撑。</span></p><p style="color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal;"><br data-filtered="filtered"/></p><p style="margin-right: 8px; margin-left: 8px; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-family: "Helvetica Neue\", \"Hiragino Sans GB\", \"Microsoft YaHei\", 黑体, Arial, sans-serif"; white-space: normal; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #595959;"><strong><span style="font-size: 15px;"> 理解了房价上涨的逻辑，我们或许就不会盲目跟风追涨三、四线城市的房子，就可以在选择购房城市时有了理性的参考和依托。一言以弊之，三、四线城市房价上涨只是短期投机，基本面强劲的优质城市的房子才具备长期投资价值。</span></strong></span></p><p><br/></p><p><br/></p> 所以，以后大城市越来越大，除了北上广深，都是乡下
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