让时间说真话79 发表于 2018-8-29 15:56:06

本轮楼市上涨已到尾声?接下来是……

<p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">有人说,这几年最改变人一生的机会,恐怕就是抓住2015-2018这一轮的房价暴涨了。南充的朋友们,你们抓住没?</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><br/></p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89434" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; border: 0px none;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="width: 2.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3em; display: inline-block; background-image: url(&#39;https://0817ch-bbs.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/attachment/forum/201808/29/155546yn8x5jinorz6ej1d.gif&#39;); background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" aria-describedby="tooltip16555">1</p></section></section></section><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">据哈佛大学做过的一项调查,人的一生会出现7次能改变命运走向的机会,每次机会大约相隔7年,这些机会往往在25岁之后开始出现,在75岁结束。第一次机会,会因为年轻而抓不到,最后一次机会因为年迈而无需把握。这样,人生就剩下5次机会,其中还会因为不小心或者各种遗憾错过2次,因此,只有3次机会。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而这几年,最改变人一生的机会,恐怕就是抓住2015-2018这一轮的房价暴涨了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">多少人借着这一轮房产投资机遇完成了人生财富的原始积累,而有的人却遗憾地错过,至今仍头无片瓦.</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而现在的种种信号都已经证明:这一轮行情,已经到了尾声了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">房价要涨,首先得有人不断地买房。按照经济学原理就是需有:商品、购买力、购买资格以及价格上涨的预期。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">套用在楼市上,就是需有:房子、钱、房票、房价上涨的预期。所以大家都知道,这一轮的房价上涨很大程度上就是“稳增长”和“去库存”的政策诉求引起的。&nbsp;</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89434" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; border: 0px none;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="width: 2.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3em; display: inline-block; background-image: url(&#39;https://0817ch-bbs.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/attachment/forum/201808/29/155546yxj332lla8n0j2nl.gif&#39;); background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" data-num="2" aria-describedby="tooltip303464">2</p></section></section></section><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而现在最明显的就是——没有房了。根据国家统计局8月14日发布的数据,7月末,商品房待售面积54428万平方米,比6月末减少656万平方米。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而2014年,全国房地产库存面积由不足5亿平方米上升到6.2亿平方米,多个城市的去化周期在15个月的警戒线之上,三四线的城市库存甚至高达30个月。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">中原地产研究中心数据显示,7月库存数据已经跌至50个月最低。从整体看,全国性的去库存周期已经完成。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">房价涨除了一次又一次的“地王”刺激,还有就是一波又一波的抢房潮在助推。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">开发商抢地、老百姓抢房,开发商控制推货节奏。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而现在全国热点一二线城市的库存已经降到最低,甚至连三四线城市的库存都已经降下来了,没房可抢了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">没有了这些地段好、配套好的房子来维持楼市的热度,各城市自然就冷下来了,房价还会有持续上涨的动力吗?</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89434" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; border: 0px none;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="width: 2.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3em; display: inline-block; background-image: url(&#39;https://0817ch-bbs.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/attachment/forum/201808/29/155546rb6bpbec83axhcjj.gif&#39;); background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" data-num="3" aria-describedby="tooltip235779">3</p></section></section></section><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">至于钱呢?买房主要分为两个方面的钱,一是你得有首付,二是房贷。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">首先,经过这几年的抢房潮,老百姓的钱基本都砸进楼市了,刚需、改善、投资的需求基本都消耗了一波。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而从大数据来看,5月,社会消费品零售总额增速才8.5%,远远低于预期,创下自2003年5月以来的15年最低。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">社会消费能力已经拉响警报,整个社会的消费能力正在严重萎缩。老百姓是真的没钱了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">那房贷呢?接下来就是宽货币、紧房贷,在精准调控下,接下来银行会对不同购买行为作出利率上的差别化对待。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">首套房贷利率可能会为了保护刚需而减少上浮甚至不上浮,尤其是一些前期首套房贷利率涨幅过高的城市。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">而二套房房贷利率,整体仍然会上涨,但是经过早期利率上涨潮,利率不会再大幅度上涨,接下来的上涨幅度会收窄。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">现在,不管是老百姓的自有资金还是房贷,都不具备维持上涨的动力。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89434" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; border: 0px none;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="width: 2.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3em; display: inline-block; background-image: url(&#39;https://0817ch-bbs.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/attachment/forum/201808/29/155546atr8wqm8wxgzttrm.gif&#39;); background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" data-num="4" aria-describedby="tooltip584794">4</p></section></section></section><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">至于房票,8月13日,南京成为第7个限制企业购房城市,此前已有西安、长沙、杭州、上海、深圳和江阴出台限制企业购房的政策。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">楼市由四限到新四限(限制企业买房、限制离婚买房、限制新落户人士买房、限制未成年人买房),主要就是为“限购”打补丁,控制房票。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">接下来很大概率会有更多城市加入。<br/></span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><section class="" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="89434" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; border: 0px none;"><section style="text-align: center;"><section style="width: 2.5em; height: 3em; color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: 1em; line-height: 3em; display: inline-block; background-image: url(&#39;https://0817ch-bbs.oss-cn-shenzhen.aliyuncs.com/attachment/forum/201808/29/155546he1spsosssrg9z4e.gif&#39;); background-size: 100%; background-position: 0px 50%; background-repeat: no-repeat;"><p class="" data-original-title="" title="" data-num="5" aria-describedby="tooltip38824">5</p></section></section></section><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">还有非常重要的就是降低了大家的房价上涨预期。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">2018年上半年,大家还在交巨额茶水费,抢到房就像中了彩票一样兴奋。下半年,突然之间,楼市的那股火爆劲突然就蔫了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">取而代之的是“稳房价”、“不让水流向房地产”。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">第三轮全国调控,重点调控的就是预期。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">老百姓向来是买涨不买跌,不断加码的调控已经让老百姓的预期发生了改变,由年初的全面看多,到现在的涨跌分化,大家观望的情绪越来越重了。</span></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal;"><br/></p><p class="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, &#39;PingFang SC&#39;, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei UI&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: medium; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 14px;">房子、钱、房票、房价预期这些因素的改变,都说明本轮房价上涨已经到了尾声了,楼市正式进入一个新的转折点,接下来是涨跌分化,有人口和产业支撑的城市还会继续涨,反之则有可能跌。</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 14px;"><br/></span></p><p><br/></p>

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 13:32:13

创下自2003年5月以来的15年最低

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-29 16:22:38

8月13日,房价涨除了一次又一次的“地王”刺激

啦啦啦hh 发表于 2018-8-29 17:35:10

买房难于上青天

zzzpyf 发表于 2018-8-29 17:36:32

不晓得南充人一家买这么多房抓,有钱去北上广买嘛,三线城市放假都买涨了

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 10:07:22

其中还会因为不小心或者各种遗憾错过2次

让时间说真话79 发表于 2018-8-30 14:29:27

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 13:32
创下自2003年5月以来的15年最低

666

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 16:56:49

老百姓的钱基本都砸进楼市了

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 20:21:35

房价还会有持续上涨的动力吗?

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-30 23:46:08

主要就是为“限购”打补丁

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-31 03:10:47

4,而现在全国热点一二线城市的库存已经降到最低

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-31 06:35:12

人的一生会出现7次能改变命运走向的机会

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-31 10:15:25

不断加码的调控已经让老百姓的预期发生了改变

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-31 13:40:07

突然之间,开发商抢地、老百姓抢房

足迹浩子 发表于 2018-8-31 17:04:48

7月库存数据已经跌至50个月最低
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查看完整版本: 本轮楼市上涨已到尾声?接下来是……